LOL, nice analysis there even though you won't find any decent NBA writer or blogger that agrees with it. If they stay relatively healthy they are a 50+ win team.
There will be a battle for the 3-6 seeds out West between Denver, Clippers, Memphis, and Spurs. LOL at the Mavs being as good as Denver, they missed on every player they went after this offseason, lost Kidd & Terry who were the reason they were hard to defend because of their 3 point shooting. They still have Dirk so they won't be terrible, but they will be lucky to finish above 7th in the West.